My 2009 NBA Playoff Predictions. This is a day late because I've been travelling.
Eastern Conference
#1 Cleveland vs #8 Detroit
This will probably be the most lopsided series. The Pistons were who they were for the last 6 years because of Chauncey Billups. Without him, they are a team that consistently beats the bad teams and loses to the good teams. This allowed them to make the playoffs, but the playoffs are full of good teams, and they're playing the best team in the East. Three blowouts and game 3 will be close, with Cleveland still pulling it out.
Prediction: Cleveland in 4.
#4 Atlanta vs #5 Miami
To non-hardcore NBA fans, this is the most underwhelming series in the playoffs. To hardcore NBA fans, this is the most underwhelming series in the playoffs. I'm guessing this will have the lowest ratings. I wouldn't be surprised if the NBA relegated these games to SpikeTV. That said, this will be a competitive series. Atlanta has some really solid players. Joe Johnson is one of the best scorers in the league. They also pushed Boston to seven games last year. That should make them the favorite against a Miami team. But Miami has Dwayne Wade, who although he isn't the MVP, he's playing as well as Kobe and LeBron, last year's and this year's soon-to-be MVP. Miami aslo has role players who have gone deeper into the playoffs. Jermaine O'Neal and Haslem could be huge.
Prediction: Miami in 7, winning Game 7 on the road, making Erik Spoelstra talk about how Dwayne Wade should be MVP so much that even Wade wants him to shut up.
#2 Boston vs #7 Chicago
I'm not just saying this because I'm a die-hard Bulls fan, but this is Chicago's to lose. I predicted the Game 1 win too. Chicago has been playing a lot better than Boston since Garnett has been out. Their record without him has been very good, but they've lost to most good teams and only beaten the bad teams. Chicago, on the other hand, since their new players (Salmons and Miller) have become acclimated, are playing as well as anyone in the NBA other than L.A. and Cleveland. But the real secret to their success isn't Derrick Rose, Salmons, Brad Miller, or Hinrich's return. They're winning because Noah and Tyrus Thomas are playing with confidence. With a healthy Garnett, Boston would win the series in five games. Without Garnett, Boston isn't a good playoff team. If Luol Deng wasn't injured, this series could have been a sweep.
Prediction: Bulls in 5 or 6. However, if Chicago wins game 2, it's a sweep.
#3 Orlando vs #6 Philadelphia
These teams are polar opposites in that Orlando can shoot all day, and Philadelphia can barely hit a shot outside 12 feet. It's like they practice in a driveway or something, and practice mainly consists of games of 21. Of Philly's starters, they have one great basketball player (Andre Miller) and four great athletes. That's not going to cut it. Jump-shooting teams (Orlando) usually struggle in the playoffs, especially playing a team that's as aggressive on defense as the Sixers. But Orlando will make up for a bad shooting game by going to Dwight Howard all night, and by playing smartly. That said, Philly's energy will win a couple games.
Prediction: Magic in 6.
Western Conference
#1 L.A. Lakers vs #8 Utah
Same as Cleveland series, except maybe four blowouts. With Okur at 100%, Utah might pick up one game, but...
Prediction: Lakers in 4.
#4 Portland vs #5 Houston
I can't understand why all the experts are picking Portland in this series. I've seen both teams play about 10 times this year. Portland is going to be great, but this isn't their year. Houston is built for the playoffs. No Tracy McGrady team has ever made it out of the first round, but luckily he's injured this year (Just kidding. It's not his fault). They have the best perimeter defense tandem in the league, in Battier and Artest. And they have the second best center in the league. I don't see this as an even match-up at all. Next year, this would be a great series, as I think they'll be the 2 and 3 seeds in the West then(if they're healthy).
Prediction: Houston in 6.
#2 Denver vs #7 New Orleans
Who is going to get the blame for losing to a 7 seed, George Karl or Carmelo? Probably George Karl. Denver is a really good team since getting Billups. He would make any team good. But I don't think they can play good enough team defense in the playoffs to slow down New Orleans. If Tyson Chandler is healthy the entire series, it could be over in six, but I don't see that happening. This will be one of the two best series to watch.
Prediction: Hornets in 7.
#3 San Antonio vs #6 Dallas
If Ginobili was healthy, San Antonio would be the only threat to L.A. But he isn't. This is going to be a tough series. Both teams are excellent and have great players. Dallas has been playing great over the past few weeks though. Not good, but great. I hate seeing San Antonio lose, but I don't know if they can pull this one out. This will be the best series of the playoffs until the Finals.
Prediction: No idea. San Antonio in 7, or Dallas in 6. Probably Dallas.
Rest of the Playoffs:
I don't have time to elaborate on each series now, so in brief:
East:
Cleveland over Miami in 4 or 5.
Chicago over Orlando in 6. Two months ago, Chicago would get swept in this series. They're a different team now. And Deng would be back in the second round.
East Finals:
Cleveland over Chicago in 5. If the Bulls are lucky, this will go 6 games. Any games Chicago wins would be very close, and they could lose in 4 blowouts.
West:
Lakers over Houston in 6. Houston has the best shot of knocking the Lakers out before the Finals, but they won't come nearly close enough.
Dallas over New Orleans in 7. This will be a great series that will come down to home-court. Dallas has the experience that will pull out Game 7.
West Finals:
Lakers over Dallas in 6. Although it will go 6, the series will never seem close. L.A. will go up 3-1, and get cocky in game 5. Then they'll take care of business in game 6.
NBA Finals:
In a replay of a wet dream that David Stern had about six years ago, Kobe and LeBron will face off in the Finals. I think this is when people will realize how good the Lakers really are. When they need to play well, they are absolutely nasty. Cleveland just doesn't have the depth to contest the Lakers in the playoffs. LeBron will get his rings, but not until this Lakers team is broken up. He'll have to settle for MVP this year.
Prediction: Lakers in 5, due to the 2-3-2 format in the Finals.